Three Steps Ahead

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Sultai Beanstalk __bmj__ 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
Jeskai Control gamer811 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
Jeskai Control spyromancer 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
flesheatingnome 5-0 1st in Jaffer's Mini Mosh - Standard @Jaffer's Arena Amphitheatre
sergi3108 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
+2.2%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
77.0%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
-3.4%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
68
decks
Tournament Results
20
1st place
34
top 8
Average Copies
2.6
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Three Steps Ahead ranks #30 out of approximately 339 cards in raw efficiency (top 9%).

Game Impact Factor
88.01
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+15.66%

Blue average: 58.7%

Performance compared to other Blue cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Three Steps Ahead is a very strong card that performs well in most contexts.

Recommended number of copies: 4

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
72.2
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
1.03x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 36.12 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 70.5%. Three Steps Ahead has a win rate of 72.2%, making it 2.5% better than other 1-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Dispelling Exhale Instant 14 78.6% 8
Shiko, Paragon of the Way Legendary Creature — Spirit Dragon 16 78.5% 8
Marang River Regent Creature — Dragon 19 72.8% 8
Jeskai Revelation Instant 6 68.5% 3
Urza's Sylex Legendary Artifact 9 68.2% 4
Essence Scatter Instant 17 64.0% 5
Boon-Bringer Valkyrie Creature — Angel Warrior 48 63.8% 19
Rediscover the Way Enchantment — Saga 7 61.8% 2
Phyrexian Fleshgorger Artifact Creature — Phyrexian Wurm 22 61.8% 6
Zur, Eternal Schemer Legendary Creature — Human Wizard 5 61.3% 1

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Three Steps Ahead than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Exorcise Sorcery 2 8 86.4% 75.3% +11.1%
Jeskai Revelation Instant 7 6 82.9% 73.6% +9.2%
Oildeep Gearhulk Artifact Creature — Construct 4 5 78.6% 69.8% +8.7%
Deadly Cover-Up Sorcery 5 5 78.6% 70.4% +8.2%
Dispelling Exhale Instant 2 14 82.9% 74.8% +8.2%
Riverchurn Monument Artifact 2 5 80.8% 74.0% +6.8%
Abrade Instant 2 11 81.3% 76.8% +4.5%
Shiko, Paragon of the Way Legendary Creature — Spirit Dragon 5 16 78.0% 73.8% +4.2%
Temporary Lockdown Enchantment 3 31 74.1% 70.1% +3.9%
Split Up Sorcery 3 13 76.1% 72.2% +3.8%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Dimir Midrange 511 24.8% 50.2%
Azorius Control 278 76.0% 50.6%
Azorius Tempo 93 23.4% 26.8%
Dimir Control 60 82.2% 56.0%
Unknown Archetype 55 17.5% 26.0%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.